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Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook



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This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next five days. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.


Tropical Weather Outlook Text
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo,
Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for
gradual development during the weekend, and a tropical depression
could form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located about 1350 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for some additional
development during the next two to three days while the disturbance
moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  After
that time, conditions are expected to become less favorable for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown