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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):
Satellite images and Air Force Reserve aircraft reconnaissance data 
indicate that an area of low pressure about 400 miles south- 
southeast of Bermuda continues to get better-defined, and recent 
satellite-derived winds indicate that the low pressure area has 
gale-force winds east of the center.  This system is expected to 
become a tropical storm this afternoon or evening, with further 
intensification likely through Sunday while the low moves northward 
at 10 to 15 mph over the southwestern Atlantic.  Interests in 
Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, though the 
threat to that island appears to be less than yesterday.  For 
additional information, including gale warnings, please see High 
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. East of the Windward Islands (AL99):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical 
wave located about 650 miles east of the Windward Islands.  Some 
development of this system could occur during the next couple of 
days while the system moves quickly westward at about 20 to 25 mph.  
Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible across portions 
of the Windward Islands as the system moves through on Sunday and 
Monday.  By Tuesday, conditions over the central Caribbean are 
expected to be unfavorable for further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.




High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Blake