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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 7 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central Atlantic about 900 miles southeast 
of Bermuda.  

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern portion of 
the Yucatan Peninsula and the south-central Gulf of Mexico are 
associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance.  
The system is expected to move slowly northeastward over the central 
and northeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days.  
Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for development, but 
they are forecast to become marginally conducive for some limited 
development as the system nears the northern Gulf coast on Wednesday 
and Wednesday night.  The disturbance is then expected to cross the 
southeastern United States, and some tropical or subtropical 
development will be possible after it emerges off the southeastern 
United States coast late this week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart




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