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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Nov 1 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system centered about 700 miles south of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become better defined
since yesterday. Shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to
show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical
depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly
northward or northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized.  Any development
during the next few days should be slow to occur while the
disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Some
development of this system is possible, although it could be limited
due to the proximity of the larger disturbance to the east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Stewart