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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nicole, located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race,
Newfoundland.

1. A large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers located over the
southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos, and adjacent western
Atlantic waters is associated with a broad surface low.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remains unfavorable for significant
development during the next day or two, but they could become more
conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Wednesday
when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward.
Locally heavy rainfall over the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks
and Caicos should diminish by tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Forecaster Stewart