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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 13 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have continued to become more concentrated
near the center of a low pressure system located about 900 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during
the next 2 to 3 days while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. A broad low pressure area located about 1250 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
showers and a few thunderstorms.  While this system is showing some
signs of organization, the low is forecast to reach cooler waters by
Tuesday afternoon, which would limit further development chances.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart