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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic

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This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from May 15 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next five days. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be favorable for some gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form around the middle part of this week.  
The system is forecast to move westward, then turn northwestward 
or northward by the end of the week over the eastern tropical 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in 
association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles east 
of the Windward Islands.  Some gradual development of the wave is 
possible during the next few days while it moves generally westward 
at 15 to 20 mph, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern 
Caribbean Sea by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake