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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwest Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure over the southern portion of the Yucatan 
Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. 
Some development of this system is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday 
when the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward 
over the far southwestern Gulf of Mexico.  Increasing upper-level 
winds should prevent significant development late this week.  
Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over portions of 
southern Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala during the next couple of 
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Brown