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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 3 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
downgraded Tropical Depression Orlene, located inland over 
southwestern Mexico, and on recently formed Tropical Storm Paine, 
located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California peninsula.

1. South of southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is currently producing a 
limited area of showers and thunderstorms.  Any development of this 
system over the next couple of days is forecast to be slow to occur 
due to strong upper-level winds and nearby dry air, but 
environmental conditions could become more favorable by the end of 
this week.  The low is forecast to move generally west-northwestward 
during the next couple of days, but could turn northwestward toward 
the end of the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Paine are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Paine are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Forecaster Papin