ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 18 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Madeline, located several hundred miles south-southeast of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

1. South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located over the far eastern portion 
of the eastern North Pacific is producing disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for slow development while the system moves slowly 
northwestward near or offshore of the coasts of southern Mexico and 
Guatemala through the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form south of the southern 
or southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some gradual 
development is possible thereafter while the disturbance moves 
generally west-northwestward off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Madeline are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Madeline are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

Forecaster Berg