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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Sep 1 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of West-Central Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 300 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have become a little better organized
overnight. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical
storm is forecast to form during the next day or so while moving
northwestward at about 10 mph, likely remaining a couple of hundred
miles off the western coast of Baja California Sur. Additional
information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of disturbed weather has formed over the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. Gradual development of this system is possible during
the next several days, and a tropical depression could form late
this weekend or early next week while it moves westward or
west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php