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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 31 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of West-Central Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located about 350 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, have 
changed little in organization during the past several hours.  
Conditions appear favorable for development of this system, and a 
tropical depression or tropical storm is forecast to form during 
the next day or so while moving northwestward at about 10 mph, 
likely remaining a couple of hundred miles off the western coast of 
Baja California Sur.  Additional information on this system, 
including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued 
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern 
coast of Mexico by late this week.  Gradual development of this 
system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
by early next week while the low moves westward or 
west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on 
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster Beven




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