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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Aug 31 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of West-Central Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located about 300 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, have 
become better organized today.  Although the low's circulation 
remains somewhat broad and elongated, further development is 
expected, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is forecast 
to form during the next day or so while moving northwestward at 
about 10 mph, likely remaining a couple of hundred miles off the 
western coast of Baja California Sur. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern 
coast of Mexico by late this week.  Gradual development of this 
system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form 
by early next week while the low moves westward or 
west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Berg