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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 12 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, 
have changed little in organization since yesterday and are confined 
to the western portion of its circulation. A small increase in the 
organization of the associated shower and thunderstorm activity 
would result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression, 
likely tonight or on Saturday, while the system moves 
west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph. By Sunday, 
upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen over the system, and 
further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart