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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 12 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, 
have changed little in organization during the past several hours. 
This system is still likely to become a short-lived tropical 
cyclone during the next day or so before upper-level winds 
become unfavorable for development on Sunday. The low is forecast 
to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph well offshore the coast 
of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi