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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Aug 3 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Georgette, located more than 1000 miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave located off the western coast of Central America is 
producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
The wave is forecast to move west and an area of low pressure is 
expected to form south of southern Mexico within the next couple of 
days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this 
week or over the weekend. The system is forecast to turn 
west-northwestward over the weekend into early next week, remaining 
well offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Well Southeast of the Main Hawaiian Islands:
Another area of low pressure could form over the far western portion 
of the eastern Pacific basin later this week. Some gradual 
development of this system is possible over the weekend or early 
next week while it moves westward toward or into the central 
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven/Bucci