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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 3 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Georgette, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave located off the western coast of Central America is
producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The wave is forecast to move west and an area of low pressure is
expected to form south of southern Mexico within the next couple of
days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this
week or over the weekend. The system is forecast to turn
west-northwestward over the weekend into early next week, remaining
well offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. Well Southeast of the Main Hawaiian Islands:
Another area of low pressure could form over the far western portion
of the eastern Pacific basin later this week. Some gradual
development of this system is possible over the weekend or early
next week while it moves westward toward the central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster D. Zelinsky