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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 30 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Atlantic 
basin Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, currently located over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea. The system is forecast to cross Central 
America and move into the east Pacific basin, as a tropical cyclone, 
over the weekend.

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
Earlier satellite data suggested that shower and thunderstorm 
activity had become better organized associated with an area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip 
of the Baja California peninsula. However, it is not clear if the 
system has a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions are 
conducive for development today, and a tropical depression or 
storm could still form before the system moves west-northwestward at 
10 to 15 mph over cooler waters by the weekend.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Papin