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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jul 11 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, 
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual 
development, and a tropical depression could form by midweek well 
offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the disturbance 
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec around midweek and move westward or west-northwestward 
at 10 to 15 mph, well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico.  
Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form by late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch