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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in coverage and become much 
better organized in association with a large low pressure system 
located about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda. Based on overnight 
development trends, a special advisory will be issued on a tropical 
depression this morning as the system meanders well southeast of 
Bermuda. See NOAA High Seas Forecast products for more details on 
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some gradual development of this system 
is possible late this week while it moves slowly northwestward or 
north-northwestward over the western Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service can 
be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Reinhart/Roberts