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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 18 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical low 
pressure system located about 550 miles east-southeast of Bermuda 
have been gradually increasing in both coverage and organization 
during the past 24 hours. Further development is expected, and a 
subtropical depression or storm is very likely to form during the 
next day or so while the low meanders well to the southeast of 
Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of 
days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development 
of this system will be possible through the middle of the week as 
it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward over the western 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart/Blake