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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of
days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical
depression to form later this week while the system meanders or
drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. Satellite images and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the
small low pressure system located very near the Gulf of Tehuantepec
is becoming better organized. This low is forecast to meander or
move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico,
and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or
two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore.
Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash
flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central
America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
For more information on the system several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
Forecaster Berg