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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about 
850 miles east of the Windward Islands has again become a little 
better organized, however the low's circulation remains broad 
without a well-defined center of circulation.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to become somewhat more conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely 
to form during the next couple of days while the system moves 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and approaches the Leeward 
Islands.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty 
winds are likely across portions of the Leeward Islands on Wednesday 
and will spread westward to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico 
Wednesday night and Thursday.  Interests on these islands should 
continue to monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm 
watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area on 
Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Berg