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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a low pressure
area a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have
a well-defined center.  In addition, the associated shower and
thunderstorm activity is still not well organized.  Although the
window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical
depression could still form on Sunday while the system moves
northward at 5 to 10 mph.  By Sunday night or Monday, however,
additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and
stronger upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles
west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica.  Gradual
development of this system is possible over the next several days,
and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves
west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi