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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 800 miles east of
Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
Upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further
development tonight, and the chance of this system becoming a
tropical or subtropical cyclone is decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Cloudiness and showers located off the northeast coast of the
United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low
pressure that is producing gale-force winds.  This system is
forecast to strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of
the United States during the next day or so.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be unfavorable for significant
subtropical or tropical cyclone development through the end of the
week while it meanders offshore of the United States.  Regardless of
development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal
flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid-Atlantic and
northeastern United States coasts through late week.  Additional
information on this system can also be found in local products and
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. An area of low pressure located several hundred miles east-southeast
of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is producing a few thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are only marginally favorable for development,
and the system is forecast to merge with the low off the east coast
of the United States tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Pasch