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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 12 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located more than a thousand miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms.  The low is
about to reach cooler waters, and tropical cyclone formation is not
expected while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico are associated with
a broad area of low pressure.  Some slow development of this system
is possible during the next several days while the low moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Forecaster Berg