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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED OCT 12 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located about a thousand miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing a few showers and thunderstorms.  The low is about to
reach cooler waters, and tropical cyclone formation is not expected
while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles south-southwest of the southern coast of Mexico are
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while the low moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph away from
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Forecaster Berg