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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Joaquin, located near the central Bahamas.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure centered over the central
Atlantic about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda is producing a large
area of cloudiness and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for the low to gradually obtain
more tropical characteristics, and a tropical depression is
likely to form in within a few days while the low moves slowly
north-northwestward to northward. Additional information on this
system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Blake