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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU OCT 1 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Joaquin, located near the central Bahamas.

1. A broad area of low pressure associated with an old frontal
zone is centered over the central Atlantic more than 600 miles
southeast of Bermuda.  This system is producing a large area of
cloudiness and thunderstorms, and environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to form by the
weekend while the low moves slowly northwestward to northward.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Avila