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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

700 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A low pressure system has developed a couple of hundred miles north
of Puerto Rico.  This disturbance is interacting with an upper-level
low and is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity.  There is some potential for the
low to briefly acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics
during the next day or so while it moves northwestward or
north-northwestward. After that time, development is not expected
when the system moves north-northeastward and merges with a frontal
zone.  Regardless of formation, locally heavy rainfall and possible
flooding should continue across Puerto Rico and the Dominican
Republic through tonight.  For additional information on the heavy
rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your national
meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

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