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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 3 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Orlene, which is located inland over southwestern Mexico.
1. South-Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the
thunderstorm activity is currently displaced to the southwest the
low-level center, only a slight increase in organization would
result in the formation of a tropical depression later today or
tonight. The system is forecast to move slowly northward or
northward-northwestward during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. South of southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this
system over the next several days is likely to be slow to occur due
to strong upper-level winds. The low is forecast to move generally
west-northwestward during the next couple of days, but could turn
northwestward toward the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.