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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 2 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Georgette, located about 1400 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms over Central America and the adjacent waters. The
wave is expected to move into the eastern Pacific basin later
today, and an area of low pressure is forecast to form a few hundred
miles south of southern Mexico later this week. Environmental
conditions are expected to be favorable for additional development
thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend while moving west-northwestward, remaining well offshore of
the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Well Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
later this week. Some gradual development of this system is possible
by this weekend while it moves westward over the open waters of the
eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Papin