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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles 
northeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Depression Mindy, located 
offshore the southeast coast of the United States. 

1. The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms over northeastern Honduras and the western 
Caribbean Sea.  This system is forecast to move into the Bay of 
Campeche and merge with a pre-existing surface trough located over 
the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by this weekend.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive to support some gradual 
development, and a tropical depression could form by early next week 
before the system moves inland over mainland Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast 
of Africa in the next day or so.  Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by early next week as the system moves 
west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde 
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Papin