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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Omar, located about 600 miles northeast of Bermuda.

1. A tropical wave and area of low pressure located over the eastern 
tropical Atlantic continues to produce a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of 
this system is expected while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late 
this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A tropical wave located over the east-central Caribbean Sea is 
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms.  Some slight 
development of this system is possible during the next couple of 
days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for formation.  
This wave is expected to move westward across the central and 
western Caribbean Sea during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. Another tropical wave located inland over western Africa is 
forecast to move offshore on Sunday.  Gradual development of this 
system is then expected, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward 
over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi




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