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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ian, located well to the east-northeast of Bermuda, on
Tropical Storm Julia, located offshore of the South Carolina
coast, and on Tropical Depression Twelve, located west of the Cabo
Verde Islands.

1. An elongated area of low pressure located over the northwestern Gulf
of Mexico is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers.
Development of this system, if any, should be slow to occur before
it moves inland over Texas by Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

2. A tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa
on Friday, and then move generally west-northwestward over the far
eastern Atlantic.  Some slight development of this wave is possible
before conditions become less favorable for tropical cyclone
formation early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Forecaster Avila