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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 17 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP90):
Satellite imagery indicates that showers and thunderstorms
associated with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico have become better
organized this morning. If these trends continue, advisories will
likely be initiated on this system as a tropical depression or
tropical storm later today. Additional information on this system,
including gale and storm warnings, can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.
2. South of Guatemala and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coasts of
Guatemala and southern Mexico in a couple of days. Gradual
development of the disturbance is expected, and a tropical
depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend
while the system meanders over the far eastern portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
Forecaster Kelly