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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located 
about 1100 miles east of the Windward Islands has become better 
defined since this morning, and the associated showers and 
thunderstorms are also showing signs of organization. Environmental 
conditions are expected to remain conducive for gradual 
development, and a tropical depression will likely form during the 
next day or two while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward across the central and western tropical 
Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the 
progress of this system. Additional information, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.  Regardless of development, this system has the 
potential to bring gusty winds, heavy rainfall and flooding to 
portions of the Lesser Antilles beginning Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Blake