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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 14 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fernanda, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. Off the Coast of Southern and Southwestern Mexico (EP90):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing widespread showers and thunderstorms off the southern
coasts of Mexico, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is expected to form within the next two to three days,
while the system moves west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the
coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec over the weekend. Some gradual development of this
system is possible thereafter while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi