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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 14 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Fernanda, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is 
producing widespread showers and thunderstorms off the southern 
coasts of Mexico, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form within the next few days, while the 
system moves west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of 
southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of the Bay of Campeche:
Another area of low pressure could form south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec over the weekend. Some gradual development of the 
system is possible thereafter while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster D. Zelinsky