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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jul 9 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized around the broad low
several hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Any
increase in organization of the thunderstorms could still lead to
the development of a short-lived tropical depression today. By
tonight, however, the system is expected to move west-northwestward
into a less favorable environment well west of the coast of mainland
Mexico. Additional information on this system, including gale
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south of southern
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form during the middle of the week. The system is
expected to move westward to west-northwestward, remaining well
offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi