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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jul 8 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better
organized in association with a large area of low pressure located a
few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental
conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional slow
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely
to form later today or tonight while the disturbance moves generally
west-northwestward, away from the coast of mainland Mexico.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south-southeast of
southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form during the early to middle portions of next week.
The system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward
parallel to, but well offshore of the coast of southern and
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
Forecaster Cangialosi