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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system located about 200 
miles southeast of Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina, 
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions could briefly 
become marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical 
characteristics through early Sunday.  However, by late Sunday and 
Monday, environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any 
further development.  The low is forecast to move slowly 
northwestward during the next day or so, and approach the North 
Carolina coast tonight and early Sunday.  Therefore, interests along 
the North Carolina coast should monitor the progress of this 
system. 

Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy 
rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions 
of North Carolina during the next day or two.  An Air Force Reserve 
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this 
afternoon.  Additional information on this system, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Stewart




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