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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jun 17 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad low pressure area located over the eastern portion of the
Bay of Campeche is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized
showers and a few thunderstorms. This system will move little
today, and little if any development is expected during that time
due to interaction with land and unfavorable upper-level winds.
However, the low should begin to move northward by this afternoon,
and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to form by late
tonight or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of
Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if
necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue
over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next
few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions of the
northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your
local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.