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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Paulette, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and on 
Tropical Storm Rene, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

1. A small low pressure area located about 240 miles southeast of 
Wilmington, North Carolina, has become less organized since 
yesterday.  The low is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15 
mph, and some development is still possible before it moves inland 
over eastern North Carolina Thursday afternoon. Interests along the 
coasts of North and South Carolina should continue to monitor the 
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorm is centered a 
couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas. This 
system is forecast to drift westward and will likely be in the 
vicinity of the Florida peninsula on Friday.  Afterward, upper-level 
conditions could become conducive for some development this weekend 
while the system drifts west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa 
on Thursday.  Gradual development is anticipated once the system 
moves over water, and a tropical depression is expected to form 
late this week or over the weekend while the system moves generally 
westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

4. Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of 
Africa this weekend.  Environmental conditions could be conducive 
for slow development over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean 
early next week while the wave moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake




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