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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Five, located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda.

1. A small low pressure system is located near the coast of the 
Florida Panhandle between Panama City and Apalachicola.  The 
associated thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, and 
significant development appears unlikely before the low moves inland 
during the next several hours.  This system is expected to evolve 
into a larger low pressure system and move northeastward, possibly 
emerging offshore of the Carolinas later this week where 
environmental conditions are expected to be 
more conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. A strong tropical wave, centered about 650 miles east of the 
Windward Islands, is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible 
today before environmental conditions become hostile for 
development on Tuesday. The wave is forecast to move through the 
Lesser Antilles on Tuesday and could produce locally heavy rainfall 
as well as gusty winds on some of those islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Beven




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