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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are 
gradually moving westward away from the Lesser Antilles. Although 
the disturbance remains disorganized at this time, some gradual 
development of this system is possible during the next several days 
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the Caribbean Sea. 
Regardless of development, this system will continue to produce 
gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the 
Windward and Leeward Islands this morning before diminishing this 
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. A westward-moving tropical wave is located over the eastern Atlantic 
Ocean, several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. 
This system is producing limited shower activity, and any further 
development is expected to be slow to occur while it moves slowly 
westward over the eastern or central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is expected to form off the southeastern 
coast of the United States in a day or two. Subsequent development 
of this system is possible, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form by the middle of the week while the system moves northeastward 
or east-northeastward, initially parallel to the southeastern coast 
of the U.S. and then away from land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

4. A new tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa 
in a couple of days.  Some gradual development of this system will 
be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly 
westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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