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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands.
This disturbance is forecast to move northwestward to northward at
about 10 mph during the next several days, producing locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and
Florida.  Conditions could become marginally conducive for
development over the weekend when the disturbance moves near Florida
and the northwestern Bahamas and then turns northeastward over the
western Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean, a
few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands,
continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  No significant development of this system is
expected for the next few days while it moves westward at about 15
mph.  Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become
more conducive, and a tropical depression could form over the
weekend several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Berg

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