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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Oct 10 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large 
area of showers and thunderstorms.  This activity has changed 
little in organization since yesterday.  However, environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while 
the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward across the 
eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
A small low pressure system over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico 
continues to produce an area of disorganized cloudiness and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear only marginally 
favorable for some additional development while the system moves 
slowly northward during the next day or so.  The low is forecast to 
merge with a frontal system over the western Gulf of Mexico by 
Wednesday morning.  Regardless of tropical cyclone development, the 
system is forecast to produce gale-force winds over portions of 
the northern Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday.  Additional information 
on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.   
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Blake