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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Surface observations along with satellite and radar data indicate
that an area of low pressure located about 50 miles east of
Wilmington, North Carolina, is gradually becoming better defined.
The associated showers and thunderstorms are still disorganized,
however, and are mostly confined to the east of the center. The
low is expected to move northeastward or north-northeastward near
or just offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks later today and
then along the mid-Atlantic coast tonight and Friday. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a
tropical or subtropical cyclone will likely form later today or
Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce
locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across
portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and
southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also
possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks today, and along
the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and
Saturday. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this system and refer to products from your local National Weather
Service office. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.