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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the area of low 
pressure over the central Atlantic and the potential for tropical 
cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

1. An area of low pressure located about 350 miles east of Bermuda is 
producing limited shower activity.  The low is forecast to move 
northeastward at 5 to 10 mph later today, and development is not 
expected due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Tropical Depression Two-E, located near the Pacific coasts of 
Guatemala and El Salvador, is forecast to move inland and dissipate 
over Guatemala or southeastern Mexico by tonight.  However, the 
remnants are expected to turn northwestward within a broader 
developing area of disturbed weather, possibly emerging over the 
Bay of Campeche on Monday.  If the remnants do move back over 
water, environmental conditions appear conducive to support some 
redevelopment of the system while it moves little during much of 
the upcoming week.  Regardless of redevelopment, heavy rainfall is 
likely over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days. 
The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued later 
this morning by 9 AM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Berg

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